Estimating the price of a home is both science and art. Home characteristics, such as square footage, location or the number of bathrooms, are given different weights according to their influence on home sale prices in each specific geography over a specific period of time, resulting in a set of valuation rules, or models that are applied to generate each home’s Zestimate. Specifically, some of the structured data that is used in the estimation include Physical attributes: Location, lot size, square footage, number of bedrooms and bathrooms and many other details. Tax assessments: Property tax information, actual property taxes paid, exceptions to tax assessments and other information provided in the tax assessors’ records. Prior and current transactions: Actual sale prices over time of the home itself and comparable recent sales of nearby homes.
Besides the structured data, there are a lot of other factors that constitute a so-called curb-appeal or the buyer’s impression of the house. It is important to consider those factors in the estimation so as to match the human emotions and social norms. When agents assess a property, the first thing they typically do is study the home from an overhead, satellite view on Google. They note whether it backs up to a busy street, the proximity to commercial property or freeways, the size of other homes nearby, the vegetation and landscaping, its orientation to the sun and, if available, will view any photos of the exterior plus a street scene. A home with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances compared to a similar home with a Formica kitchen definitely commands a higher value. Similarly, a home that has been renovated should be estimated more than its next-door similar neighbor which is a decade or two out of date. The companies like Zillow have been using such data extracted from home photos and satellite images of the neighborhood for some time. Armed with a large amount of data collected over a period of time, Zillow claims that its Zestimate is 15 percent more accurate when it incorporates machine learning to simulate human judgment. Till recently, companies like Zillow had an advantage of a pool of data collected over many years from homes all over the US, based on which they have fine-tuned their machine learning models. With the availability of computer vision APIs for object detection from Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, and Foxy it is now possible for any company providing real-estate services, while starting from scratch, to make use of unstructured data in their estimation. We tried Amazon, Google and Microsoft’s Object Detection APIs on a suite of home photos. We wanted to find out the accuracy of these APIs with built-in generic object detection models and whether they can be used to augment home estimations. Please see the end of the article on details of objects detected using each of these APIs with the built-in model on a variety of home photos.
Observations
- Amazon provides the most accurate results followed by Google and Microsoft.
- Microsoft detects only a single object and has poor accuracy as compared to the other two.
- Amazon returns multiple labels related to specific objects as well as its ancestors.
- For some photos, Google returned specific labels such as “hacienda” for “Spanish Estate” showing it might have a wider variety of photos from different countries.
- Foxy AI takes an approach to classify objects in known categories related to real-estate like Closet, Laundry etc. It is not clear if their model has any higher accuracy than the generic object models of the other three companies.
- None of the results show adjectives like “Wooden floor” or “Granite countertop” etc. with default models which may limit their use in estimation.
Improving detection
- Images may not always be clear and sharp. It will be interesting to see how accurately objects in cluttered, out-of-focus or low-light images are detected.
- Amazon APIs can return the bounding box for common object labels such as people, cars, furniture, apparel or pets. Bounding boxes can be used to find the exact locations of objects in an image, count instances of detected objects, or to measure an object’s size using bounding box dimensions. It would be interesting to see if we can detect additional characteristics of an object by feeding in zoomed in part of the image of the individual object. For real-estate photos, the useful adjectives to detect are — bright and spacious, marble, granite countertop, teak furniture, new refrigerator, wooden floor, Flaming birch cabinets, antique furniture, leather sofa, high ceiling, long, steep driveway, manicured garden, walk-in closet, long hallway, clean carpet.
- Amazon API allows the use of parent labels to build groups of related labels and then querying of similar labels in one or more images. This can be used to compare bedroom photos of multiple homes and query objects within that room to compare.
- Microsoft provides the idea of scoped analysis where you can specify the model’s name to get information relevant to that model. Currently, only Celebrities and Landmarks models are supported. But all the companies may eventually add real-estate as one of the categories or domains which may significantly improve the detection accuracy.
- Home styles, interiors change based on location and culture. Considering such aspects while detecting objects can improve detection accuracy. A targeted machine learning model trained only on the photos of interior and exteriors of houses vs. generic model for any object detection can work well. There are companies like Foxy AI who take this approach. Foxy provides API endpoints specifically to detect objects in home pictures and also provide price predictions based on the input parameters.
- Google’s AutoML Vision makes it possible for developers with limited machine learning expertise to train high-quality custom models. After uploading and labeling images, AutoML Vision trains a model that can scale as needed to adapt to demands. Such custom, production-ready models are better suited for our use case.
- Making a generic AI product that is genuinely useful to the custom scenario is very hard. A custom model development based on data collected from real users is always preferable to the exercise of fitting a square peg in a round hole.
- Teaching a computer to appreciate curb appeal and the buyer’s feel of the home is truly artificial intelligence. Using generic object detection APIs with built-in models can be a good start for companies who do not have any data. As they gather data over time, a custom model built using local home photos can work well to extract additional home features. These along with structured variables like square footage can help hone in on more accurate estimations. In any case, we are far from eliminating expert real-estate agent’s visit for a true valuation of real-estate.
Object Detection Results on home photos
Reference: https://i.imgur.com/7Jk4R8h.jpg
Microsoft
"categories":[{"name":"outdoor_pool","score":0.95703125}], "requestId":"7462e05d-5cc3–4273-a6d6-e78edc916d34", "metadata":{"width":2048,"height":1365,"format":"Jpeg"}
estate : 0.9384693503379822 property : 0.9383976459503174 mansion : 0.9083089828491211 villa : 0.8863233923912048 real estate : 0.8205443620681763 home : 0.8012939095497131 hacienda : 0.7106115221977234 building : 0.7076689004898071 sky : 0.6754202842712402 swimming pool : 0.6674705147743225
Amazon
Building : 97.64356231689453 Mansion : 93.88848876953125 House : 93.88848876953125 Housing : 93.88848876953125 Path : 93.61183166503906 Walkway : 93.61183166503906 Resort : 93.21076202392578 Hotel : 93.21076202392578 Flagstone : 91.89410400390625 Villa : 86.66985321044922 Water : 69.26892852783203 Pool : 69.26892852783203 Architecture : 61.82177734375 Sidewalk : 57.70322799682617 Pavement : 57.70322799682617
Analysis
- Microsoft correctly identified the pool with a qualifier of “outdoor”. But it did not return any other objects.
- Google identified specific architecture of building by identifying it as “Hacienda” meaning “Spanish Estate”. It also explicitly identified “sky” which was not detected by the other two.
- Amazon detected details like “Flagstone”. Amazon seems to have a pretty high confidence score also for each object starting with 97%.
Reference: https://i.imgur.com/Eic3Xam.jpg
Microsoft
"categories":[{"name":"abstract_","score":0.01171875},{"name":"others_","score":0.01171875}], "requestId":"a7add036–54d5–4421-ab4c-889535161445", "metadata":{"width":1905,"height":2000,"format":"Jpeg"}
interior design : 0.7810790538787842 home : 0.6999193429946899 window : 0.6992332339286804 outdoor structure : 0.5407284498214722 furniture : 0.5291412472724915
Amazon
Flooring : 99.99893951416016 Floor : 99.8294448852539 Indoors : 94.28851318359375 Interior Design : 94.28851318359375 Plant : 89.50586700439453 Living Room : 85.67030334472656 Room : 85.67030334472656 Furniture : 83.99723052978516 Couch : 83.99723052978516 Hardwood : 82.8748550415039 Wood : 82.8748550415039 Jar : 78.75053405761719 Pottery : 78.75053405761719 Vase : 78.75053405761719 Blossom : 77.35748291015625 Flower Arrangement : 77.35748291015625 Flower : 77.35748291015625 Potted Plant : 76.62191009521484 Flower Bouquet : 72.43888854980469 Flagstone : 58.75558090209961 Door : 58.61599349975586 Corridor : 55.91652297973633
Analysis
- Microsoft could not detect any objects with default settings. It also has generic terms like “abstract” (maybe it detected the picture as a painting) with a very low confidence score.
- Google detected some generic terms like “Window” and “Furniture”.
- Amazon detected a lot of details included “Potted plant”, “Flower Bouquet” etc.
Reference: https://i.imgur.com/6aGAOOp.jpg
Microsoft
"categories":[{"name":"abstract_","score":0.01953125},{"name":"others_","score":0.00390625},{"name":"outdoor_","score":0.00390625}], "requestId":"0f4b81a5-b38f-47b0–93fa-61d93186a5bb", "metadata":{"width":2048,"height":912,"format":"Jpeg"}
property : 0.8942150473594666 countertop : 0.8445141911506653 kitchen : 0.8333971500396729 estate : 0.7475240230560303 interior design : 0.7038251161575317 real estate : 0.7007927894592285 cuisine classique : 0.6698155999183655 ceiling : 0.5234758257865906
Amazon
Indoors : 99.1664047241211 Room : 99.1664047241211 Kitchen : 94.69178009033203 Interior Design : 93.49835205078125 Flooring : 89.98771667480469 Wood : 85.61946868896484 Lamp : 83.11481475830078 Chandelier : 83.11481475830078 Kitchen Island : 81.20708465576172 Hardwood : 77.21861267089844 Furniture : 59.81884002685547 Floor : 58.4579963684082
Analysis
- Microsoft could not detect any objects with default settings.
- Google detected that it is a kitchen but did not identify much of details within the kitchen.
- Amazon detected a lot of details included “
Chandelier”, “Hardwood” etc.
Reference: https://i.imgur.com/2CQ2EyM.jpg
Microsoft
"categories":[{"name":"abstract_","score":0.02734375},{"name":"building_pillar","score":0.3515625}], "requestId":"5e1faa3e-ac73–4a65-aaaf-84ec3d8547cd", "metadata":{"width":2048,"height":944,"format":"Jpeg"}
property : 0.8988840579986572 room : 0.8776835799217224 interior design : 0.7127363085746765 real estate : 0.6541785597801208 living room : 0.6493942141532898 estate : 0.6164873838424683 floor : 0.5910876989364624 ceiling : 0.5784943699836731 flooring : 0.5770671367645264 house : 0.5629818439483643
Amazon
Flooring : 99.9969482421875 Floor : 99.98954010009766 Wood : 98.96363830566406 Interior Design : 97.80683135986328 Indoors : 97.80683135986328 Hardwood : 92.8141098022461 Room : 82.762939453125 Living Room : 80.249267578125 Plywood : 72.39012145996094 Furniture : 69.56649780273438 Bedroom : 68.93217468261719 Bed : 61.190338134765625 Rug : 60.942543029785156
Analysis
- Microsoft could not detect any objects with default settings.
- Google detected the room incorrectly as “Living room”.
- Amazon detected the room as both “Living room” and “Bedroom”. It also correctly detected “Bed” and “Plywood”.
Reference: https://i.imgur.com/LGKVfzx.jpg
Microsoft
"categories":[{"name":"indoor_room","score":0.93359375}], "requestId":"59e8b484–652a-4d78–90f6-d9fb4274c33f", "metadata":{"width":2000,"height":2000,"format":"Jpeg"}
room : 0.916010856628418 bathroom : 0.8526955842971802 interior design : 0.8033964037895203 floor : 0.8008365035057068 wall : 0.7690424919128418 flooring : 0.7259812951087952 home : 0.725638210773468 ceiling : 0.701020359992981 estate : 0.6925469040870667 real estate : 0.657813549041748
Amazon
Flooring : 99.98371887207031 Floor : 99.88095092773438 Furniture : 98.47281646728516 Couch : 88.17687225341797 Indoors : 87.85083770751953 Interior Design : 87.85083770751953 Living Room : 78.22207641601562 Room : 78.22207641601562 Wood : 71.65221405029297 Tub : 68.77200317382812 Hardwood : 62.696842193603516 Flagstone : 58.15713119506836
Analysis
- Microsoft could not detect any objects with default settings.
- Google detected sit correctly as a “Bathroom”.
- Amazon detected “Tub” and “Couch” but not as a “Bathroom”.
Reference: https://i.imgur.com/6PnuY0Q.jpg
Microsoft
"categories":[{"name":"outdoor_","score":0.01171875},{"name":"outdoor_street","score":0.55078125}], "requestId":"88a759da-2b1c-43f9–9fec-c8cb07cb9fde", "metadata":{"width":1769,"height":2000,"format":"Jpeg"}
property : 0.9011626243591309 walkway : 0.7674194574356079 home : 0.7527650594711304 real estate : 0.7386894822120667 arecales : 0.7260463237762451 palm tree : 0.6820899248123169 estate : 0.6767517924308777 outdoor structure : 0.6750420928001404 villa : 0.6429499387741089 house : 0.6065300107002258
Amazon
Flagstone : 99.65138244628906 Tree : 95.78475952148438 Plant : 95.78475952148438 Patio : 91.34025573730469 Walkway : 90.66641235351562 Path : 90.66641235351562 Arecaceae : 88.72791290283203 Palm Tree : 88.72791290283203 Outdoors : 79.1570816040039 Sidewalk : 78.15443420410156 Pavement : 78.15443420410156 Human : 77.41170501708984 Person : 77.41170501708984 Building : 76.29102325439453 Banister : 74.00752258300781 Handrail : 74.00752258300781 Summer : 70.18952178955078 Hotel : 63.83850860595703 Arbour : 59.08328628540039 Garden : 59.08328628540039 Home Decor : 57.40121078491211 Pot : 56.944217681884766
Analysis
- Microsoft could detect it only as “Outdoor”.
- Google detected some generic terms like “Palm Tree” and “Villa”
- Amazon detected a lot of details included “Palm Tree”, “Patio” etc. It also detected “Human” and “Person” in the picture which is not there.
Thanks to Pablo Thiel at Haverford College for help with extracting data with all the APIs.
Originally published at 47billion.com on February 4, 2019.